The Dictator’s Dilemma at the Ballot Box: Electoral Manipulation, Economic Maneuvering, and Political Order in Autocracies. 2022. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press (Weiser Center for Emerging Democracies Series).
*open access e-book
*reviewed in JJPS and Governance
 “When Does the Honeymoon End? Electoral Cycles of Democratic Satisfaction in Africa.” (with Nicholas Kerr) Online First (open access). Political Psychology. (web appendix)
 “Measuring National Refugee Policies: Recent Trends and Implications for Future Development.” (with Yujin Woo) Online First (open access). Interdisciplinary Information Sciences.
 “The Choice of Electoral Systems in Electoral Autocracies.” 2023. (with Eric C.C. Chang) Government and Opposition 58-1: 106-128. (Journal website; web appendix)
 “The Peril of Parliamentarism: Executive Selection Systems and Democratic Transitions from Electoral Authoritarianism.” 2022. (with Yuko Kasuya) Studies in Comparative International Development 57: 198-220. (web appendix)
 “Political Liberalization and Human Development: Dynamic Effects of Political Regime Change on Infant Mortality across Three Centuries (1800-2015).” 2021. (with Susumu Annaka) World Development 147 (open access). (Replication file; journal website; web appendix)
 “Blatant Election Fraud and the Value of a Vote.” 2021. Japanese Journal of Political Science 22-1: 1-14. (Replication file; journal website)
 “Economic Institutions and Autocratic Breakdown: Monetary Constraints and Fiscal Spending in Dominant-Party Regimes.” 2019. (with Cristina Bodea and Carolina Garriga) the Journal of Politics 81-2: 601-615. (Replication file; journal website)
 “Ethnic Inequality and the Strength of Ethnic Identities in Sub-Saharan Africa.” 2018. (with Christian Houle) Political Behavior 40-4: 909-932. (Replication file; blog post; journal website)
 “Central Bank Independence and Fiscal Policy: Incentives to Spend and Constraints on the Executive.” 2017. (with Cristina Bodea) British Journal of Political Science 47-1: 47-70. (Replication file; blog post; journal website)
 “Elections, Ethnic Parties, and Ethnic Identification in New Democracies: Evidence from the Baltic States.” 2016. (with Ryo Nakai) Studies in Comparative International Development 51: 124-146. (blog post; journal website)
 “Oil and Civil Conflict: Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?” (with Cristina Bodea and Raju Jan Singh). 2016. World Development 78:1-12. (journal website)
 “Can Contentious Elections Overthrow Leaders?” 2015. In Pippa Norris, Richard Frank, and Ferran Martinetz i Coma eds. Contentious Elections: From Ballots to Barricades. New York: Routledge, pp.64-85. (book website)
 Varieties of Party Identity and Organization (V-Party) Dataset V1 (with Anna Lührmann and others)